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Gold Technical Analysis - Gold Trading: 2025-01-06
Gold Technical Analysis Summary
Below 2629.60
Sell Stop
Above 2664.80
Stop Loss
| Indicator | Signal |
| RSI | Neutral |
| MACD | Sell |
| Donchian Channel | Sell |
| MA(200) | Buy |
| Fractals | Buy |
| Parabolic SAR | Sell |
Gold Chart Analysis
Gold Technical Analysis
The XAUUSD technical analysis of the price chart in 4-hour timeframe shows the XAUUSD,H4 is retracing lower as it has breached below the 200-period moving average MA(200), which is tilted upward still. We believe the bearish momentum will continue after the price breaches below the lower boundary of Donchian channel at 2629.60. This level can be used as an entry point for placing a pending order to sell. The stop loss can be placed above 2664.80. After placing the order, the stop loss is to be moved every day to the next fractal high, following Parabolic indicator signals. Thus, we are changing the expected profit/loss ratio to the breakeven point. If the price meets the stop loss level (2664.80) without reaching the order (2629.6), we recommend cancelling the order: the market has undergone internal changes which were not taken into account.
Fundamental Analysis of Precious Metals - Gold
Dollar is retracing down while Goldman Sachs reiterated its $3,000 gold price forecast. Will the XAUUSD price retreat persist?
Goldman Sachs said it now expects gold prices to hit $3,000 an ounce by mid-2026 after ending 2025 at around $2900. The investment bank had forecast $3000 gold price target for the end of 2024. Gold renewed its push higher in the first week of 2025 amid expectations of higher tariffs under Trump’s administration. President Trump has promised to raise tariffs on US imports, motivating the policy by desire to protect domestic producers and bring production back to America. Traders anticipate higher tariffs to result in higher prices. Expectations of higher inflation support market views of more hawkish central bank policy against the backdrop of repeated statements by Federal Reserve that the central bank’s fight against inflation was not over. Expectations of more restrictive Fed monetary policy are bearish for gold prices.
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